Illinois
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 85.1232Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H We Illinois 52- 3 906 A Duke ACC ( 8- 5, 82.2) 45-19 913 H We Michigan MIDA ( 9- 4, 75.9) 38- 0 920 A Indiana B10 (13- 0, 96.5) 10-63 927 H USC B10 ( 9- 3, 88.7) 34-32 1004 A Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 73.8) 43-27 1011 H Ohio St B10 (12- 1, 99.8) 16-34 1025 A Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 86.3) 25-42 1101 H Rutgers B10 ( 5- 7, 78.6) 35-13 1115 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 76.2) 24- 6 1122 A Wisconsin B10 ( 4- 8, 78.5) 10-27 1129 H Northwestern B10 ( 6- 6, 79.4) 20-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Duke 45-19 26 0 +++ 13.76
913 H We Michigan 38- 0 38 12 + 2.11
920 A Indiana 10-63 -53 -14 0.00
927 H USC 34-32 2 -1 + 2.94
1004 A Purdue 43-27 16 9 ++ 5.39
1011 H Ohio St 16-34 -18 -12 -1.95
1025 A Washington 25-42 -17 -4 --- -10.14
1101 H Rutgers 35-13 22 9 ++ 4.77
1115 H Maryland 24- 6 18 12 + 2.39
1122 A Wisconsin 10-27 -17 4 --- -17.91
1129 H Northwestern 20-13 7 8 -1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Washington 25-42 -17 -4 --- -10.14 1122 A Wisconsin 10-27 -17 4 --- -17.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A Duke 45-19 26 0 +++ 13.76 1004 A Purdue 43-27 16 9 ++ 5.39 1101 H Rutgers 35-13 22 9 ++ 4.77 913 H We Michigan 38- 0 38 12 + 2.11 927 H USC 34-32 2 -1 + 2.94 1115 H Maryland 24- 6 18 12 + 2.39 |
Illinois Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| California | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Clemson | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Duke | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Florida St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Georgia Tech | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Louisville | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| NC St | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Pittsburgh | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Syracuse | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Virginia | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Va Tech | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Wake Forest | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Army | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Charlotte | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Ea Carolina | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Memphis | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Navy | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| No Texas | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Rice | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Tulane | Illinois | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Illinois | |
| Tulsa | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UAB | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UTSA | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Cincinnati | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Colorado | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Houston | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Iowa St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Kansas | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Kansas St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Oklahoma St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Illinois | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Illinois | |
| Minnesota | Illinois | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Illinois | |
| Nebraska | Illinois | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Illinois | |
| Northwestern | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Penn St | Illinois | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Illinois | |
| Purdue | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Rutgers | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UCLA | Illinois | Illinois 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| USC | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Kennesaw St | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Liberty | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| La Tech | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Middle Tenn | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| NM St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| SHouston St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UTEP | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| We Kentucky | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UMass | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Akron | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Ball St | Illinois | Illinois 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bowl. Green | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Buffalo | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Cen Michigan | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Ea Michigan | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Kent State | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| MiamiOH | Illinois | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Illinois | |
| No Illinois | Illinois | Illinois 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ohio | Illinois | Illinois 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Toledo | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| We Michigan | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Air Force | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Boise State | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Colorado St | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Fresno St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Hawaii | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Nevada | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| New Mexico | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| San Diego St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| San Jose St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| UNLV | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Utah St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Wyoming | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Oregon St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Wash St | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Auburn | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Florida | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Arkansas State | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Coastal Car | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Georgia So | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Georgia St | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| J Madison | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Louisiana | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Marshall | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Old Dominion | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| So Miss | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| So Alabama | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Texas State | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Troy | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| La-Monroe | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois | |
| Delaware | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Missouri St | Illinois | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Illinois |
PowerWise = 109
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Duke ( 8- 5, 82.2) 45-19 -17.69 29.46 2.67 1.10 70.89
0 H We Michigan ( 9- 4, 75.9) 38- 0 -23.99 23.16 -2.67 1.10 45.18
0 A Indiana (13- 0, 96.5) 10-63 -3.36 43.79 2.67 1.10 -0.38
0 H USC ( 9- 3, 88.7) 34-32 -11.16 35.99 -2.67 1.10 73.48
0 A Purdue ( 2-10, 73.8) 43-27 -26.06 21.09 2.67 1.10 52.42
0 H Ohio St (12- 1, 99.8) 16-34 -0.05 47.10 -2.67 1.10 -1.50
0 A Washington ( 8- 4, 86.3) 25-42 -13.59 33.56 2.67 1.10 -6.02
0 H Rutgers ( 5- 7, 78.6) 35-13 -21.33 25.82 -2.67 1.10 51.06
0 H Maryland ( 4- 8, 76.2) 24- 6 -23.71 23.44 -2.67 1.10 45.80
0 A Wisconsin ( 4- 8, 78.5) 10-27 -21.37 25.78 2.67 1.10 -10.31
0 H Northwestern ( 6- 6, 79.4) 20-13 -20.47 26.68 -2.67 1.10 52.96
------
373.58
|
winning pts = 391.7928 losing points = -18.2110
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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